New poll: Donald Trump takes narrow lead over Kamala Harris in Michigan

09/08/2024 / By Laura Harris

A recent WDIV/Detroit News survey shows that former President Donald Trump has taken a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Michigan.

The survey, conducted from Aug. 26 to Aug. 29 among 600 likely voters, reveals that 44.7 percent of likely voters in Michigan currently support Trump, while 43.5 percent back Harris. The poll also indicates that 4.7 percent of voters support independent former presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 2.3 percent support another third-party candidate and 4.8 percent of voters remain undecided. (Related: POLL: American voters trust Donald Trump more than Kamala Harris on firearms issues.)

The survey also assessed voter perceptions of the candidates.

Based on the results, 42.3 percent of voters view Trump favorably, while 51.3 percent view him unfavorably. Harris has a slightly higher favorability rating at 43.3 percent, with 49.7 percent viewing her unfavorably.

The data also indicates that voters believe Trump is better able to handle certain jobs of the presidency than Harris, such as handling the economy (51.5 percent to 38.9 percent), foreign affairs (48.7 percent to 44.3 percent) and immigration (55.5 percent to 36.6 percent).

However, voters believe Harris is better in strengthening American democracy (47.1 percent to Trump’s 42.7 percent), more trustworthy (45.4 percent to 42.2 percent), more honest (45.3 percent to 35.7 percent) and smarter (47.4 percent to 42.8 percent).

Several other polls reveal that Trump leads Harris in all key battleground states

These results have been reflected in several other polls.

An AARP poll, conducted from Aug. 7 to Aug. 8 among 600 likely voters, showed Trump ahead with 45 percent support against 43 percent of Harris. Kennedy only had six percent support, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent candidate Cornel West each received one percent.

The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus four percent and surveyed a political composition of 33 percent Republicans, 32 percent Democrats and 35 percent independents.

Similarly, a Reuters/Ipsos poll, conducted from Aug. 21 to Aug. 28, found Trump leading Harris in seven key battleground states, including Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Nevada. In these states, the poll showed Trump holding a 45 percent to 43 percent lead over Harris.

A Democracy Institute/Daily Express US survey, conducted earlier in August, also showed that Trump held an edge over Harris in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. A recent Peak Insights poll also showed Trump led Harris by two points in Arizona, another pivotal swing state in the Sun Belt region. Additional polling from InsiderAdvantage and the Trafalgar Group in August also revealed that Trump holds a two-point advantage in Pennsylvania, a three-point lead in Nevada and a four-point edge in North Carolina.

These polls were conducted before and after Kennedy suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump. This indicates that Harris may be losing her post-nomination momentum, with concerns growing over her ability to connect with voters on key issues.

Michigan, alongside Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, is expected to be a decisive battleground in the presidential election. Should Trump win one or more of these critical states, Harris’ path to securing the necessary 270 electoral votes narrows significantly. This, in turn, could have major implications for her campaign strategy moving forward.

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